Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.448451 0.496438 0.548063 0.607836 0.675274 0.749154 0.836426
2025-06-01 0.375738 0.442881 0.520539 0.617475 0.735888 0.876665 1.057934
2025-06-08 0.328210 0.402991 0.493697 0.612748 0.766250 0.959361 1.223628
2025-06-15 0.297991 0.378161 0.479234 0.617487 0.803960 1.050030 1.404825
2025-06-22 0.269025 0.350813 0.457280 0.608034 0.819262 1.109631 1.547694
2025-06-29 0.246589 0.329333 0.440133 0.601930 0.836529 1.171221 1.697605
2025-07-06 0.221506 0.301796 0.411886 0.576883 0.823200 1.185995 1.777565
2025-07-13 0.209994 0.291979 0.407145 0.584432 0.857213 1.272599 1.976242
2025-07-20 0.199608 0.282776 0.402246 0.590796 0.889245 1.358260 2.182207
2025-07-27 0.190304 0.274329 0.397578 0.596701 0.920455 1.444765 2.398730
2025-08-03 0.181201 0.265443 0.391424 0.599456 0.946319 1.524249 2.611570
2025-08-10 0.173776 0.258528 0.387657 0.605447 0.977603 1.615224 2.855289
2025-08-17 0.162321 0.244786 0.372512 0.592011 0.975384 1.648876 2.998591
2025-08-24 0.156538 0.239628 0.370683 0.600647 1.012252 1.756025 3.298269
2025-08-31 0.148608 0.230474 0.361663 0.596113 1.024908 1.819402 3.517901
2025-09-07 0.143111 0.224909 0.358126 0.600702 1.054335 1.916962 3.820917
2025-09-14 0.135541 0.215441 0.347382 0.591544 1.057026 1.962440 4.017636
2025-09-21 0.129132 0.207548 0.338816 0.585632 1.065247 2.019443 4.247235
2025-09-28 0.120126 0.194750 0.321002 0.561364 1.035500 1.995754 4.288441
2025-10-05 0.116877 0.191693 0.320089 0.568678 1.069120 2.107558 4.664261
2025-10-12 0.113647 0.188476 0.318665 0.574844 1.100829 2.218400 5.054228
2025-10-19 0.110542 0.185300 0.317100 0.580565 1.132009 2.331205 5.466373
2025-10-26 0.107183 0.181486 0.314124 0.583234 1.156863 2.432257 5.863740